Sunday, June 30, 2024 (8:00 pm)
For Tropical North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico
Area Of Special Interest: 10–20°N and 40–65°W
Hurricane Beryl: At 8:00 pm, the centre of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 11.2 North, longitude 57.3 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph. A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the centre of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands Monday morning and across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea late Monday through Wednesday. Data from both the Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph with higher gusts. Beryl is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are likely during the next day or so, and Beryl is expected to remain an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane through landfall in the Windward Islands. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles from the centre, and tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles. The minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 958 mb.
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Grenada, Carriacou and Petite Martinique. The Met Office continues to monitor this system.
Disturbance 1: Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system. This system has a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.
Tropical Depression Three: At 7:00 pm, the centre of Tropical Depression Three was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 95.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph and this general motion should continue until it dissipates over eastern Mexico late Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected, and the cyclone is forecast to become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast later tonight. The system is expected to weaken and dissipate after it moves inland over eastern Mexico. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb.
The next update will be issued at 2:00 am.
Trisha Miller, Duty Forecaster
Meteorological Services, MBIA
Grenada Airports Authority (GAA)
